Empire Petroleum Corp Stock Performance

EP Stock  USD 2.93  0.09  2.98%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.24, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Empire Petroleum's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Empire Petroleum is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Empire Petroleum Corp has a negative expected return of -0.0264%. Please make sure to confirm Empire Petroleum's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the day median price and relative strength index , to decide if Empire Petroleum Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Empire Petroleum Corp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, Empire Petroleum is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(2.98)
Five Day Return
2.09
Year To Date Return
(3.62)
Ten Year Return
946.43
All Time Return
(84.35)
Last Split Factor
1:4
Last Split Date
2022-03-08
1
Federal judges block Texas from using redrawn congressional map
11/18/2025
2
Acquisition by Phil Mulacek of 1316 shares of Empire Petroleum at 3.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/26/2025
3
Acquisition by Phil Mulacek of 1743 shares of Empire Petroleum at 3.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/28/2025
4
Acquisition by Phil Mulacek of 7223 shares of Empire Petroleum at 2.9985 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/02/2025
5
Jones scores 24, UTEP takes down North Dakota State 76-66
12/23/2025
6
Acquisition by Phil Mulacek of tradable shares of Empire Petroleum at 3.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/30/2025
7
Acquisition by Phil Mulacek of 1068 shares of Empire Petroleum at 3.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
8
Acquisition by Energy Evolution Master Fund, Ltd. of 562500 shares of Empire Petroleum subject to Rule 16b-3
01/07/2026
9
ICE officer who shot Renee Good in Minneapolis has served decades in military and law enforcement
01/09/2026
10
Residents in El Paso, Texas left with little to no water after main break
01/12/2026
11
Liberian man arrested in Minneapolis raid was regularly checking in with authorities, lawyer says
01/15/2026
12
Judge orders release of Liberian man arrested in Minneapolis raid
01/16/2026
13
ICE says immigrant who died in Texas detention center committed suicide
01/20/2026
14
Private guard called 911 for help in ICE detainee homicide
01/23/2026
15
Nicaraguan mans death at Texas camp was reported as a hanging
01/28/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow7.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-53.9 M

Empire Petroleum Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  318.00  in Empire Petroleum Corp on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (25.00) from holding Empire Petroleum Corp or give up 7.86% of portfolio value over 90 days. Empire Petroleum Corp is generating negative expected returns and assumes 4.7257% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Put differently, 42% of stocks are less risky than Empire on the basis of their historical return distribution, and some 99% of all equities are expected to be superior in generating returns on investments over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Empire Petroleum is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 6.23 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 per unit of volatility.

Empire Petroleum Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Empire Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.93 90 days 2.93 
about 85.69
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Empire Petroleum to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 85.69 (This Empire Petroleum Corp probability density function shows the probability of Empire Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Empire Petroleum has a beta of 0.24 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Empire Petroleum average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Empire Petroleum Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Empire Petroleum Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Empire Petroleum Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Empire Petroleum

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Empire Petroleum Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.152.937.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.567.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.062.777.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.763.023.28
Details

Empire Petroleum Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Empire Petroleum is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Empire Petroleum's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Empire Petroleum Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Empire Petroleum within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Empire Petroleum Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Empire Petroleum for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Empire Petroleum Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Empire Petroleum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Empire Petroleum has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company generated the yearly revenue of 44.04 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (16.2 M) with gross profit of 10.34 M.
Empire Petroleum has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from apnews.com: Nicaraguan mans death at Texas camp was reported as a hanging

Empire Petroleum Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Empire Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Empire Petroleum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Empire Petroleum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding30.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.3 M

Empire Petroleum Fundamentals Growth

Empire Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Empire Petroleum, and Empire Petroleum fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Empire Stock performance.

About Empire Petroleum Performance

Assessing Empire Petroleum's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Empire Petroleum's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Empire Petroleum is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 13.50  12.82 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.15)(0.16)
Return On Capital Employed(0.12)(0.11)
Return On Assets(0.15)(0.16)
Return On Equity(0.23)(0.22)

Things to note about Empire Petroleum Corp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Empire Petroleum for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Empire Petroleum Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Empire Petroleum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Empire Petroleum has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company generated the yearly revenue of 44.04 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (16.2 M) with gross profit of 10.34 M.
Empire Petroleum has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from apnews.com: Nicaraguan mans death at Texas camp was reported as a hanging
Evaluating Empire Petroleum's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Empire Petroleum's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Empire Petroleum's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Empire Petroleum's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Empire Petroleum's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Empire Petroleum's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Empire Petroleum's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Empire Petroleum's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Empire Petroleum's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Empire Petroleum's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Empire Petroleum's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Empire Stock Analysis

When running Empire Petroleum's price analysis, check to measure Empire Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Empire Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of Empire Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Empire Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Empire Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Empire Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.